Sunday, May 25, 2014

Abstract of “When zombies attack!: Mathematical modelling of an outbreak of zombie infection”

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the flexibility of mathematical modelling and to show how it can respond to a wide variety of challenges, such as infectious diseases.

To do this, the scenario of a zombie outbreak infecting humans was considered and the slow moving, cannibalistic and undead classical pop-culture zombie chosen as model. Mathematical analyses of a zombie outbreak infection were conducted and altogether four models presented. The first one, called the basic model, considers three basic classes, the Susceptible (S), the Zombie (Z) and the Removed (R). It suggests that an outbreak of zombies will lead to the collapse of civilisation and in a short outbreak, everybody will be infected. The second one, referred to as the model with latent infection, indicates that susceptibles remain infected for some period of time before either dying a natural death or becoming a zombie. In this case, the collapse of civilisation still takes place but takes approximately twice as long. The third model includes quarantine of the infected but there is still no chance for them to escape. Even though the eradication of humans is slightly delayed in this model, zombies are either completely eradicated or they take over completely in the end. The final model, called the model with treatment, allows to cure ‘zombie-ism’ and to return to human form again. Upon examination of these facts, it becomes clear that the only, effective way to survive an outbreak of zombies is to deal with it quickly and attack more than once.

In order to obtain all of those above-mentioned models, mathematical analyses and Euler’s method were applied.  Results suggest that the only, significant difference between the models concerning a non-realistic zombie outbreak and other models of real infectious diseases is the fact that the dead can come back to live again. However, the fact that mathematical modelling can even be applied to non-realistic challenges proves beyond a doubt its flexibility.


[324 words]

Golden Rice (CAJ Geneteically Modified Food)


It is no longer a secret that crops can be genetically modified in order to contain additional nutrient which are lacking from the diets of many people in developing countries. One example is Golden Rice which contains beta-carotene. This organic compound is converted into vitamin A when ingested.  Golden Rice could improve the lives of thousands of children living in poor countries who suffer from blindness due to the lack of vitamin A.

The first type of Golden Rice was introduced about 25 years ago by Ingo Potrykus at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology and by Peter Beyer at the University of Freiburg. The process of developing this new type of rice consisted of transferring genes of maize into rice to obtain the Golden Rice.  It was given this name as it produces the same pigments that yellow vegetables do.
In 2005, a second type of Golden Rice was developed which produces up to 23 times more beta-carotene than the original Golden Rice.

It was trialled in the Philippines in August 2013 but despite the fact that Golden Rice was developed as a humanitarian tool, it has been met with strong opposition from environmental and anti-globalization activists. Greenpeace, for example, believes that Golden Rice is not the answer to vitamin A deficiency (VAD) and malnutrition. According to this NGO, money should not be spent on this project but rather used for programs that they are already working on, such as the promotion of home-gardening and pills.

However, field studies in the Philippines have been conducted despite the vandalism and all the protests. In this country, vitamin A deficiency affects 1.7 million children between 6 months and 5 years. In order to improve the situation, Golden Rice will be tested also in future according to the best and most rigorous standards.


Disadvantages of genetically modified food (CAJ)

When doing research on the disadvantages of genetically modified food, you stumble over numerous websites opposing to it and warning that it is harmful. However, this cannot be said for sure as there exists no evidence proving this statement.


The debate on the disadvantages of genetically modified food started in 1994 when a tomato with longer shelf life, called Flavr Savr, was developed by the Californian Company Calgene. But then, it was found that this modified vegetable caused stomach lesions in rats and lead to an on-going debate about GM food.

Even though, this negative effect can or could not be denied and the safety of such products is not verified yet, one must not forget that those were lab rats which were tested on the safety of such technology. It is still not clear if genetically modified food has the same negative impacts on human health.  

The following examples are just a few of the other innumerable examples on the internet opposing to GM food and describing it as dangerous. Again, it is important to note that the majority of them do not state those examples with 100 % certainty.
  • Genetically modified food can cause cancer
  •  It could raise new allergy outbreaks in humans
  • The effects of genetic food engineering could be irreversible
  •  GM food can disturb the natural flow of environments
  • Strong likelihood of widespread infestation of diseases across species barriers


In conclusion, the disadvantages of genetically modified food could not be proven yet but many believe that this is still the case. Although perhaps this debate might take a long time to be solved, one should hope that there are not any unforeseen consequences that arise from using GM foods in the future because if they were, most of us would be affected by it.




Saturday, May 24, 2014

Advantages of Genetically Modified food (CAJ)


After having done some research on the internet, I came across many various websites being in favour of genetically modified food.  I found hardly any that could provide real evidence why GM food is dangerous. However, there are lots of websites opposing to it.

Instead of saying that GM food is harmful and being against it, it would be better to consider the fact that sufficient evidence classifying and proving GM food as dangerous does not exist. This is an important fact which can and should not be ignored.  Also, the so called “Frankenstein Food” brings many undeniable advantages not only for farmers but also for societies worldwide.

First of all, it is not a secret that global population and 3rd world hunger are increasing massively. Genetically modified food seems to be a great promise to solve this on-going crisis.  

Secondly, plants can be genetically modified in order to become more disease resistant. Thanks to this, they would become more robust and bacterial, fungal and/or viral infestations could harm them less as they can now without the modification. Especially farmers are in favour of this development as they would have to less fear crop failures. Another important modification concerning plants could be performed by changing their genes in order to protect them against dehydration, frost, salty soil etc.  A gene from a plant which can survive prolonged water stress in desert conditions has already been introduced into rice and it turned out to be a successful experiment. The rice was then able to produce a certain kind of sugar which protects the plant against dehydration.

Finally, genetically modified food could also be used to produce edible vaccinations in order to replace medicines and vaccines which often are costly to produce and require special storage conditions.  Researchers are, for example, working on developing edible vaccines in tomatoes and potatoes. If they succeed in doing so, these vaccines will be much easier to transport, store and administer in comparison to the traditional injectable vaccines.


As can be seen from all the mentioned-above examples, the benefits of genetically modified cannot be neglected. What is remarkable is the fact that GM food has several advantages in various areas, such as society and world population, the development of plants leading to improvements of harvest, and also in the area of pharmaceutics. Even though some still oppose to this kind of modified food, there is no certain evidence proving its harmfulness.

Sunday, May 18, 2014

General description of CAJ




Argumentative text for CAJ (GM food)

Beth Hoffman, the author of the text “Just Because Science Can Genetically Engineer Foods, Doesn’t Mean We Should” expresses her negative view on genetically modified food. The text does not seem to address a specific target audience. Hoffman rather states her personal opinion and tries to mobilize the readers’ emotions by using pronouns, such as “we” or “us” so that they have a sense of belonging. As there are lots of parts in the text that use this method of addressing the feelings of the target audience, it is easily identifiable that Pathos is dominant in this text.  The author supports all of this by using Logos as she logically lists arguments, examples and also explanations. These two methods are dominant in the complete text because Hoffman does not apply the third one, namely Ethos, at all. Still, she perfectly succeeds in persuading the readers. 

Friday, May 16, 2014

How to go back in time and kill Adolf Hitler

Time estimation: approximately one hour

Materials
    ●        a time machine
    ●        a loaded gun
    ●        uniform of a SS Nazi soldier

Before travelling back in time, make sure that you:
●      have strong nerves
●      are daring and courageous
●      are able to kill another person
●      are good at handling a gun 




Instructions



1.    Take the uniform of an SS Nazi soldier and get dressed.
2.    Hide the loaded gun in one of the socks you are wearing.



Option 1: Hide it in the sock of your right foot if are a right-handed person. 
Option 2: Hide it in the sock of your left foot if you are a left-handed person.



Hint: This will allow you to take out the gun later on in an inconspicuous way.

3.    Get into the time machine.
4.    Set the appropriate time (30.1.1939) and location (Berlin Brandenburg gate) by pressing the buttons of the computer keyboard inside the time machine.
5.    Pull the lever down.



Hint: Pull the lever strongly because it might get stuck!

6.    Get out of the time machine.
7.    Now you have two options:
 
Option 1: Join the crowd in front of the podium and remain there.
Option 2: Approach the podium as closely as possible.




Warning: The following steps must be carried out quickly! 


8.    Bend down and take the gun inconspicuously out of your sock. 

Option 1: If you are a right-handed person, use your right hand to get the gun out.
Option 2: If you are a left-handed person, use your left hand to get the gun out. 

9.    Place the gun at Adolf Hitler.
10. Take a deep breath and pull the trigger.


Hint: If you missed the target, keep the pistol aimed at Adolf Hitler and fire further shots. 

11.  Escape the place as fast as possible!
12.  Get into the time machine.
13.  Repeat step 3 but set the current time and your home address as location.

Well done! You have successfully completed the mission.